Archive for September 2nd, 2010

Methodology: Draft/Free writing (part 4)

Posted by Laura on Thursday, 2 September, 2010

When I say part 4, what I mean is that this this includes everything you’ve seen in earlier parts… and I’ve just added bits here and there. In this case, I’ve added about 800 words. I’ve managed to complete about seven of the ten sections of my methodology so far. Even though seven sections are done, this is still very much a draft as the grammar has issues, there are organizational issues, there may be incomplete thoughts, etc. A lot of this blog is about showing other people the process of writing a dissertation. As I’m writing about social media and social media moves so fast… posting this in this format feels appropriate. Onwards with my latest…


Methodology

When conducting social media research, there are ten general methods that can be used to gather and analyze data. These are:

  1. Individual case studies for how a business uses social media and the web;
  2. Search and traffic analytics analysis;
  3. Sentiment analysis and reputation management;
  4. Content analysis;
  5. Usability studies;
  6. Interaction and collaboration analysis;
  7. Relationship analysis to try to determine how people interact and to identify key influencers;
  8. Population/demographic studies;
  9. Online target analysis of behavior and psychographics; and
  10. Predictive analysis.

Each of these methods offers insights into various aspects of the web and its population. The type of analysis used is often specific to the purpose of the research, involved blended approaches from traditional analysis types, and different methods are often used in conjunction with each other. These methods often blend quantitative and qualitative analysis. Choosing the correct method of gathering analyzing data can be one of the biggest hurdles for being able to measure ROI and understand how a community works.

This section will provide a brief summary of each type, explain how to conduct this type of research and give examples that used that methodology.

Individual case studies for how a business uses social media and the web (COMPLETE)

Case studies on social media usage are often done to measure the effectiveness of specific actions taken by an organization.

Bronwyn et al. (2005) say case studies “typically examine the interplay of all variables in order to provide as complete an understanding of an event or situation as possible. This type of comprehensive understanding is arrived at through a process known as thick description, which involves an in-depth description of the entity being evaluated, the circumstances under which it is used, the characteristics of the people involved in it, and the nature of the community in which it is located.”

This methodology often incorporates components of all the other methods discussed in this section. The specific methods often depend on the goals of the person or organization conducting the case study.

Vincenzini (2010) did a case study regarding the use of the social media by the NBA in an attempt to define why they have been successful in using it to promote the league. The author used quantitative analysis to measure the size of the community, the volume of content they were viewing on sites like YouTube and the volume of content they were creating on sites like Twitter. The quantitative analysis was synthesized with explanations from NBA employees to explain their practices in the context of their own business decisions as they pertained to social media. This was followed up with an explanation as to what worked and what did not worked and offered advise for others involved with sport and social media to help them leverage their own position.

Case studies are a mixed methodology approach, borrowing from other approaches. The major difference is that the case study focuses on a narrower perspective with the goal of tracking behavioral changes, or in advising others on how an organization changed practices and how those lessons can be applied elsewhere.

Search and traffic analytics analysis (COMPLETE)

Search engine and traffic analytics generally is done internally to determine how to optimize a site in order to increase the amount of visitors a site gets and the total number of pages that they view. This method involves identifying how people arrive at a specific site and the pages they visit while at the site. Traffic analytics analysis often includes six different components: Search engine visitors, paid search advertisements, pay per click, organic traffic, direct traffic and internal site traffic.

Ramos and Cota (2009) define traffic analytics as “Tools that analyze and compare customer activity in order to make business decisions and increase sales. Analytics tools can report the number of conversions, the keywords that brought conversions, the sites that sent converting traffic, conversion by campaign, and so on.”

There are a number of different methods and tools that allow for this type of analysis. Early in the history of the Internet, one of the most popular tools and methods involved analyzing web server log files. (Jansen 2009) Another popular early method of analysis was page tagging, which involved embedding an invisible image on a page, which, when the image is triggered, “triggers JavaScript to send information about the page and the user back to a remote server.” (Jansen 2009) These earlier tools have advanced a bit and now include tools like Quantcast and Google Analytics. Kaushik (2010) recommends Google Analytics, a free tool that involves putting a bit of code on all pages of a site. Kaushik (2010) points out that various types of traffic analysis can be done using the various tools provided by Google Analytics. The author claims that Google Analytics allows you to break the analysis down into “three important pieces: campaign response, website behavior, and business outcomes.” (Kaushik 2010)

Fang (2007) completed a case study at the Rutgers-Newark Law Library in order to track library website usage, track visitor behavior and determine how to improve the website to better serve users. Earlier work done by the library had involved surveys handed out to patrons, analysis of log files, and the use of counters. (Fang 2007) The author changed methods because of some inherent flaws in using those methods to analyze website needs. They used Google Analytics in order to track user activity on the library’s website. The library “found out how many users were accurately following the path we had designed to reach a target page.” (Fang 2007) This sort of path following navigation was one of the goals they had when they designed their site. They also found out that “Visitor Segmentation showed that 83% of visitors were coming from the United States. About 50% of U.S. visitors were from New Jersey, and 76% of these were from Belleville and Newark. These results matched our predictions for patrons’ geographical patterns.” (Fang 2007) The results of this analysis enabled the library to make changes to improve their website.

This type of methodology lends itself more to a case study approach and often requires the consent of the website involved in order to get private logs. It can be used in conjunction with other methods, but should be used in a more targeted analysis of highly specific research areas.

Sentiment analysis and reputation management (COMPLETE)

Sentiment analysis involves identifying content related to a topic and identifying the emotion connected to that content. In a sport context, sentiment analysis could involve determining if newspapers are providing positive or negative coverage of a team. In a social media context, sentiment analysis would involve determining attitudes being expressed on Twitter in individual tweets. Reputation management goes one further: After sentiment has been determined, a decision needs to be made on if and how negative and positive sentiment content should be responded to. Sentiment analysis is passive analysis where non-stakeholders can conduct analysis. Reputation management is active analysis that is primarily conducted by stakeholders as part of on going activities to improve a brand, be it personal or corporate.

While sentiment analysis and reputation management are similar in their desire to monitor a response to a situation, the tools available vary differently for each type. There a variety of different tools for sentiment analysis. One of the tools for conducting sentiment analysis are freely available lists of words “that evoke positive or negative associations.” (Wanner et al. 2009) Sterne (2010) suggests that content being ReTweeted on Twitter can be seen as a tool to measure positive sentiment. Sterne (2010) suggests that the ratio of follows/followers is not an effective tool for measuring sentiment on Twitter. Reputation management tools include Trackur. It allows you to “set up searchers and the system automatically monitors the Web for key words that appear on news sites, blogs, and other social media.” (Weber 2009)

Wanner et al. (2009) did a sentiment analysis of RSS feeds that focused on the 2008 United States presidential elections. They selected 50 feeds connected to the elections and collected updates to these feeds every 30 minutes for one-month starting 9 October 2008. For each item they collected off the feeds, they also recorded the date, title, description and feed id. (Wanner et al. 2009) After that, they eliminated all noise, which mostly consisted of non-content like URLS. (Wanner et al. 2009) The next step was to filter out all items that did not contain one of the following terms: “Obama”, “McCain”, “Biden”, “Palin”, “Democrat” and “Republican”. (Wanner et al. 2009) Sentiment was then analyzed using freely available lists “that evoke positive or negative associations.” (Wanner et al. 2009) The results were then visualized. Five events that happened during this period were chosen for a more detailed visual examination. They found that the news regarding possible abuse of power by Sarah Palin in Alaska resulted in many negative posts. They also found that the debates resulted in low sentiment scores for both candidates as the candidates attacked each other. The authors concluded that the visual tool they created would be useful for monitoring public debates.

This methodology can overlap with influencer identification (Weber 2009) as part of reputation management involves determining which people are worth responding to. It can also overlap with psychographics. Despite the obvious overlaps, this type of research often appears independently and not as part of a larger study.

Content analysis,

Content analysis involves looking at the individual components of something larger and analyzing it. In a social media context, the content could be comments on a Facebook fanpage, or all the tweets made by a person or group.

With content analysis, the researcher views data as “data as representation not of physical events but of texts, images and expressions that are created to be seen, read, interpreted, and acted on for their meanings, and therefore be analyzed with such uses in mind.” (Krippendorff 2007) Krippendorff (2007) defines the basic methodology used in content analysis as unitizing, sampling, recording, reducing, inferring, and narrating.

Usability studies,

According to Sweeney, Dorey and MacLellan (2006), one of the purposes of a usability study is “point out specific usability problems with your Web site interface in line with how well your Web site speaks to your audience and their goals.”

Usability studies can be done in conjunction with traffic analysis and search analytics as the purposes are often similar: Improve the user experience and try to get users to complete certain tasks.

Interaction and collaboration analysis,

Viégas et al. (2007) did a collaboration analysis focusing on Wikipedia. The purpose of their work was to examine historical editing patterns and how editing practices have evolved over time. They built on work done by Viégas, Wattenberg and Dave in 2003. The methodology they used involved getting the editing history of articles across several different Wikipedia namespaces. The history of the articles was then examined using several visualization tools, metrics and methods depending on the established cultural practices for that namespace. One tool they used was a history flow visualization application. A method they used was the manual classification of “all user posts in a purposeful sample”. (Viégas et al., 2007) Metrics they used included count of horizontal rules, signed user names, new indentations levels, votes in polls and total “references to internal Wikipedia resources.” (Viégas et al., 2007) These tools, metrics and methods allowed them to examine how collaboration and interaction had changed over time.

Relationship analysis (COMPLETE)

Relationship analysis involves examining the relationships between users on a social network, message board or mailing list. The goal is to identify cliques of different sizes or people who are particularly influential in a particular group online. This type of analysis is important to many brands including Starbucks (Plimsoll, 2010). The purpose of relationship analysis is to identify key influencers and social who influencers who are or who have the potential to be brand evangelists. (Plimsoll, 2010)

Lord and Singh (2010) define social media influence marketing as being “about recognizing, accounting and tapping into the fact that as your potential consumer makes a purchasing decision, he or she is being influenced by different circles of people through conversations with them, both online and off.”

The methodology for influence identification is not clearly spelled out as identifying influencers can be heavily dependent on the network being examined and how the community on a specific site functions. As a result, social media marketers suggest an array of tools like Twitalyzer that can be used to help determine your own influence. (Ankeny 2009) Twitalyzer’s Peterson and Katz (2010) explain their site-specific method of determining influence as including the following variables: Engagement level, total followers, total following, hashtags cited, lists included on, frequency of updates, references by others, references of others, times content is retweeted, urls cited and a number of other variables. Sterne (2010) suggests using WeFollow.com to find people who use topic specific #hashtags on Twitter. The people who tweet the most about a topic are likely to be influencers in that others looking for tweets around a topic are likely to read them. In a wider web context, Sterne (2010) suggests using Technorati to identify bloggers who have clout and influence around a certain topic.

This type of research can be viewed as a fundamental component to sentiment analysis; social media marketing companies like Razorfish often package the two together. (Lord & Singh, 2010)

Population /Demographic studies (COMPLETE)

Population studies involve defining the demographic characteristics of a community. In a population study, the goal is also to define the limits and size of the community that is being studied. Because of the complexity in defining the boundaries of a population and in sampling the whole of it, this type of research is rarely done in terms of social media.

Daugherty and Kammeyer (1995) define a population study as the assembling “of numerical data on the sizes of populations.” This sort of data is defined by the authors as “descriptive demographic statistics.” Daugherty and Kammeyer (1995) say “population numbers are always changing, so even if they are accurate when gathered they are soon out of date and inaccurate.” Daugherty and Kammeyer (1995) say the basic purpose of conducting a demographic study “is to explain or predict changes or variations in the population variables or characteristics.” Given the definition of a population study, the methodology involves counting all members of a select population.

The most famous example of a population study is the census. In the United States, this is done every ten years. According to the U.S. Census Bureau (n.d), the goal of the 2010 US census is ” to count all U.S. residents—citizens and non-citizens alike.” This is done by sending all citizens a ten-question questionnaire, requiring that people complete it by law and having a census taker follow up for all households did not return completed questionnaires. (U.S. Census Bureau, n.d.) The results are then calculated and are used by the government to make decisions.

This type of research often stands on its own. The results will often be utilized for marketing purposes in conducting other research, such as psychographics, to make that that sampling contains representative populations.

Online target analysis of behavior and psychographics (COMPLETE)

Online targeting of and marketing towards a specific audience because of their demographic characteristics is extremely common on the Internet. Psychographics is a term that includes targeting towards a specific demographic group except it includes the offline component.

Sutherland and Canwell (2004) define psychographics as “market research and market segmentation technique used to measure lifestyles and to develop lifestyle classifications.” (p. 247) Nicolas (2009) defines online behaviorial analysis as a series of steps: Collecting user data across several sites, organizing information about users based on the sites they visit and their behavior on those sites, “infer demographics and interest data”, and classifying new users based on the collected data in order to deliver relevant ads and content based their demographic profiles. Kinney, McDaniel, and DeGaris (2008) define psychographics as attitude towards something such as a brand or involvement with an organization.

Given the methodology involved, much of this type of research involves action research in that it is done in a specific content, based on internal models to address specific situations.

An example of this type of research was done by Kinney, McDaniel, and DeGaris (2008) who investigated the demographic characteristics of NASCAR fans and their attitudes towards NASCAR, its sponsors and sponsor involvement with NASCAR. The research found that age, gender and education were all important variables in determining sponsor recall: Younger, more educated males had the best brand recall amongst NASCAR fans.

This type of research can be viewed as a subcomponent of a population study in that demographic information is sought about the population. In an online context, it often works in conjunction with search and traffic analytics analysis, content analysis, and interaction and collaboration analysis.

Predictive analysis (COMPLETE)

A search on 13 July 2010 on SPORTDiscus had three results for “predictive analysis.” A search on the same date on Scopus had 605 results, 275 of which were in engineering, 132 in computer science and 102 in medicine. Predictive analysis is probably one of the least used analysis methods, especially in social media and fandom.

What is predictive analysis? At its simplest, it is identifying a future event or events, monitoring selection actions that precede the event and seeing if those events can be used to predict the outcome of similar events in the future. If a predictive value is found, an organization can monitor behaviors to help make more informed decisions.

An example of this type of research is “Predicting the Future With Social Media” by Asur and Huberman (2010). Their goal was to determine if tweet volume and sentiment on Twitter prior to a movie being released could be used to predict how well a movie performs at the box office. Their methodology involved identifying movie wider release dates that took place on a Friday, creating a list of keyword searches related to those movies, and using the Twitter API to collect all tweets and aggregate date that mention those keywords over a three month time period. The authors then compared the tweet volume to box office performance. They concluded that social media “can be used to build a powerful model for predicting movie box-office revenue.” (Asur & Huberman, 2010)

This type of research can be used in conjunction with other methods. It can be used along side a population study to see if certain actions will result in demographic changes.
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